Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.200922 0.238469 0.280555 0.331150 0.390244 0.457003 0.538063
2025-05-25 0.137391 0.183053 0.239900 0.315561 0.413286 0.534881 0.697242
2025-06-01 0.108742 0.157960 0.224196 0.319202 0.451215 0.627273 0.878815
2025-06-08 0.085402 0.133494 0.202611 0.308153 0.463971 0.683985 1.016191
2025-06-15 0.073224 0.121918 0.195953 0.315189 0.500475 0.774931 1.208891
2025-06-22 0.062618 0.110464 0.187040 0.316470 0.527090 0.852734 1.389209
2025-06-29 0.053078 0.098860 0.175734 0.311637 0.542424 0.913597 1.548494
2025-07-06 0.045444 0.089079 0.165719 0.307001 0.556604 0.972908 1.710028
2025-07-13 0.041690 0.085568 0.165809 0.319367 0.600359 1.084339 1.967768
2025-07-20 0.039831 0.085270 0.171480 0.342161 0.664572 1.236221 2.308571
2025-07-27 0.037092 0.082759 0.172581 0.356396 0.714500 1.367475 2.625069
2025-08-03 0.033044 0.076887 0.166316 0.355537 0.735755 1.448739 2.858410
2025-08-10 0.028133 0.068608 0.154594 0.343395 0.735986 1.495247 3.040307
2025-08-17 0.023541 0.060236 0.141487 0.326731 0.725478 1.520959 3.187181
2025-08-24 0.021227 0.056709 0.138238 0.330446 0.757066 1.631804 3.511237
2025-08-31 0.018186 0.050826 0.128773 0.319026 0.754891 1.674146 3.701428
2025-09-07 0.016740 0.048690 0.127634 0.326295 0.794227 1.805715 4.087651
2025-09-14 0.015120 0.045785 0.124190 0.327619 0.820220 1.911412 4.429209
2025-09-21 0.013377 0.042199 0.118487 0.322626 0.830881 1.984696 4.707559
2025-09-28 0.011866 0.038970 0.113183 0.317836 0.841334 2.058325 4.993407
2025-10-05 0.011271 0.038331 0.114638 0.330611 0.896083 2.237753 5.534385
2025-10-12 0.011126 0.039052 0.119908 0.354158 0.980386 2.493493 6.273515
2025-10-19 0.010638 0.038597 0.121819 0.368863 1.043756 2.705539 6.928893